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Mitchell Report on Roger Clemens:
As everyone with
even the remotest level of sentience is aware, baseball's Mitchell
Report was released Thursday.
The report (or
"The Mitch"), all 400-odd pages of it, was greeted with a
predictable level of saturation coverage and hand-wringing. In the
sports world, it's the news of the day, and it's going to remain
that for some time to come. That means you, the sports fan, should
familiarize yourself with "The Mitch" as much as possible.
Timelines
Almost every name
you'll find in the Mitchell Report has attached to it sketchy or
indefinite timelines. Presumably, investigators simply weren't able
to establish when most of these players took what and for how long.
However, there are a couple of exceptions. To wit, Roger Clemens and
Jason Giambi have fairly clear timelines that emerge in terms of
when and what they were (allegedly!) using.
With that in
mind, let's take a look at these timelines and match them up with
the relevant statistics. This, of course, is an effort to see
whether their use of performance-enhancing drugs may have made a
difference between the white lines. Um, perhaps that's a bad choice
of words — may have made a difference on the field of play. Let's
check it out ...
Roger Clemens
What the
report says:
The Mitch absolutely brings the dirt on Clemens — more than eight
full pages worth. Based on the testimony of Brian McNamee, Clemens'
trainer for several years, the report alleges that Clemens began
using injectable steroids during the 1997 season, when he was in
Toronto. He continued using through the 1998 season. However, prior
to the 1999 campaign, he was traded to the Yankees. McNamee,
meanwhile, remained in the employ of the Blue Jays, and there's no
evidence that Clemens continued using in McNamee's absence.
In 2000, things
changed. The Yankees, at Clemens' urging, hired McNamee, and he once
again began advising Clemens. Midway through the 2000 season,
Clemens began using steroids anew, and he also added HGH to his
cocktail. He stopped his regimen in late 2000, but began it once
again in August of 2001, this time without taking HGH (according to
The Mitch, Clemens didn't like receiving injections in his navel).
McNamee says he has no knowledge of whether Clemens used
performance-enhancing drugs after 2001. At this point, it's worth
noting that Clemens has already and vociferously denied all charges.
The timeline:
Anyhow, here's what we have ... Clemens was allegedly on steroids in
1997 and 1998, off them for 1999, on them for the second half of
2000, off them for first half of 2001, on them for the second half
of 2001, and finally, off them from that point forward. Whew.
So here are
Clemens numbers during the "on" periods and during the adjacent
"off" periods:
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On |
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1997 |
264.0 IP, 2.04 ERA, 292 strikeouts |
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1998 |
234.2 IP, 2.65 ERA, 271 strikeouts |
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2000 (Second Half) |
108.2 IP, 3.15 ERA, 98 strikeouts |
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2001 (Second Half) |
66.1 IP, 4.61 ERA, 70 strikeouts |
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Off |
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1996 |
242.2 IP, 3.63 ERA, 257 strikeouts |
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1999 |
187.2 IP, 4.60 ERA, 163 strikeouts |
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2000 (First half) |
95.2 IP, 4.33 ERA, 90 strikeouts |
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2001 (First half) |
113.2 IP, 4.20 ERA, 122 strikeouts |
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2002 |
180.0 IP, 4.35 ERA, 192 strikeouts |
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Let's be
charitable and not call this "damning," but it does strongly suggest
a pattern. With the exception of 2001, Clemens was notably better
during his on periods than he was in his corresponding off periods.
It's impossible to know whether Clemens' use of PEDs was the reason
for these trends — after all, correlation does not imply causation —
but said trends are curious, to say the least.
Here, then, is
the more difficult question: how do you sanction Barry Bonds without
punishing another presumed first-ballot Hall of Famer, Roger
Clemens?
Much of the
information in this report comes from Kirk Radomski. Before telling
all to Mitchell, Radomski rolled over for the feds. That led
prosecutors to one Brian McNamee, a former New York City cop, who
was employed as a strength and conditioning coach by both the Blue
Jays and the Yankees. McNamee says he injected Clemens — whose
dedicated workout regimens were the subject of endless praise — on
numerous occasions with both Winstrol and human growth hormone. In
doing so, he tampered not just with Clemens' physique, but with
baseball history.
Roger Clemens —
who refused to address the allegations with Mitchell's investigators
— trails only Nolan Ryan in career strikeouts. He's eighth in
all-time victories, and first among active players with 354. He's
won a record seven Cy Young Awards.
If the report is
correct, Clemens began cheating in 1998, a couple of years before
Bonds. And if nothing else, Bonds employed a better class of gofer.
At least Greg Anderson, unlike McNamee, stood up and went to jail
instead of ratting out his employer.
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